22 Aug · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1764
FormWWWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Guzik
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
77%
23%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 62% (80)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~77 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+274
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+274)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)