22 Aug · 19:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1514
FormWLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Mlynarski
FM
🇵🇱Filip Mlynarski
ELO 1701
FormWLLWL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Mlynarski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+187
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)