22 Aug · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1509
FormLWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Gesiarz
KM
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1371
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 71% (24)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)