22 Aug · 18:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1764
FormWWWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Guzik
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1489
FormWLWLW
77%
23%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 62% (80)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+275
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+275)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)