22 Aug · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1506
FormLWLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1694
FormLWWWW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)