22 Aug · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1372
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Wozniak
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1438
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Wozniak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)