22 Aug · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1355
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1400
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)