22 Aug · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1342
FormWLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Mleczko
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1466
FormWWLLL
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Poloszczanski🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)