22 Aug · 19:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1525
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kubiak
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1469
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 64% (69)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.38· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H4-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)