22 Aug · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1369
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1411
FormLLLLW
45%
55%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)