23 Aug · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1646
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kocik
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
🌟Kocik covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+143
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)