22 Aug · 23:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1646
FormWWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kocik
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1475
FormLWLLW
68%
32%
🌟Kocik covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)