22 Aug · 22:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1369
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adach
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1416
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Adach
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)