29 Aug · 14:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1592
FormWLWLW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)