29 Aug · 09:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AD
🇵🇱Adam Dosz
ELO 1796
3-1Final setsDosz won
TS
🇵🇱Tibor Spanik
ELO 1762
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Dosz at 52%. The actual result was Adam Dosz 3-1 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Tibor Spanik favoured — closing 1.57
Set handicap
Tibor Spanik −1.5 sets
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Dosz is favoured to win, below means Tibor Spanik.
▲ Adam Doszpre 56% → final 77%
Tibor Spanik ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsDosz recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games