29 Aug · 14:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1386
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Glica
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Glica
ELO 1501
FormWWWWL
37%
63%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Glica
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)