29 Aug · 14:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AD
🇵🇱Adam Dosz
ELO 1796
FormLWWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Dosz
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1666
FormWWLLL
64%
36%
🌟Nowalinski goes over total as underdog 69% (80)
Fair odds · Dosz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)