29 Aug · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1679
FormLWLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Sporek
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1499
FormWLLWL
69%
31%
🌟Sporek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (63)
Fair odds · Sporek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H16-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-6)