29 Aug · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1679
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sporek
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1674
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jendrzejewski🌟Sporek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (63)
Fair odds · Sporek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.