29 Aug · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1592
2-3Final setsGlica won
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Glica
ELO 1501
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lach at 59%. The actual result was Rafal Glica 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Marcin Lach favoured — closing 1.52
Total 77.5
101 points played
Set handicap
Marcin Lach −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Marcin Lach −1.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Lach is favoured to win, below means Rafal Glica.
▲ Marcin Lachpre 56% → final 6%
Rafal Glica ▼
Biggest swing 51 ptsGlica recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games