29 Aug · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AC
🇵🇱Aleksander Cichocki
ELO 1595
FormLWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Cichocki
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1386
FormLLLLL
72%
28%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Cichocki
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)