29 Aug · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1499
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wos
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1476
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Wos rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Wos
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.