29 Aug · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1551
FormWLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jedrzejak
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1684
FormWWWLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H36-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-27)