29 Aug · 14:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1398
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rolak
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1324
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Szoltysek🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H2-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)