29 Aug · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1555
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Slawinski
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1616
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)