29 Aug · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1401
FormWLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Piotrowski
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1244
FormLWLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H11-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-1)