29 Aug · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1509
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wos
MM
🇵🇱Maciej Makajew
ELO 1496
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Wos rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Wos
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.