29 Aug · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1686
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jedrzejak
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1524
FormLLWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~73 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H39-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-20)