29 Aug · 15:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1642
FormLWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kosmal
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1464
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)