29 Aug · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇵🇱Maciej Makajew
ELO 1496
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Szurlej
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1542
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Szurlej
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)