Maciej Nowalinski vs Tibor Spanik — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

30 Aug · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski

ELO 1666

3-2Final setsNowalinski won

🇵🇱Tibor Spanik

ELO 1746

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Spanik at 63%. The actual result was Maciej Nowalinski 3-2 — the underdog won.

Maciej Nowalinski — profile →Tibor Spanik — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Spanik favoured — closing 1.45

Upset

Total 76.5

95 points played

Over

Set handicap

Spanik −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Spanik −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

6.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Nowalinski is favoured to win, below means Tibor Spanik.

▲ Maciej Nowalinskipre 33% → final 20%

Tibor Spanik ▼

Biggest swing 72 ptsSpanik recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games