29 Aug · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1610
FormWLWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Fomin
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1457
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H28-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-4)