29 Aug · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1529
FormWWLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Juszczyk
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1326
FormWWLWL
71%
29%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+203
H2H21-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-10)