29 Aug · 21:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1312
FormWLWLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Brud
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1533
FormWWWWL
27%
73%
🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+221
H2H15-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+221)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-4)