29 Aug · 21:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1642
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kocik
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1604
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Kocik covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+38
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.