29 Aug · 22:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1418
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stapor
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1312
FormWLWLL
61%
39%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H0-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)