29 Aug · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1463
FormLLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Misiak
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1315
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
🌟Misiak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Misiak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)