30 Aug · 01:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1424
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stapor
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1328
FormWLWWL
60%
40%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)