30 Aug · 01:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1489
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kubiak
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1460
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 64% (69)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H13-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.