30 Aug · 00:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1525
FormWLWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Juszczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1276
FormWLLLW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H53-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-50)