30 Aug · 00:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1328
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kotwica
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1328
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Kotwica rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (17)
Fair odds · Kotwica
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.