30 Aug · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1600
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pawlik
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1644
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Fomin covers set handicap as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H9-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)