30 Aug · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1489
FormLLWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kocik
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1643
FormWLWLW
34%
66%
🌟Kocik covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)