29 Aug · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1644
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Pawlik
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1460
FormLWLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)