30 Aug · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1453
FormWLWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Zemla
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1566
FormWWWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Zemla
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)