30 Aug · 06:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1453
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1487
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.