30 Aug · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1505
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Szurlej
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1532
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Solilo stays under total as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Szurlej
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.