30 Aug · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1319
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lukaszewski
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1255
FormLWWLW
57%
43%
🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+64
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)