30 Aug · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jedrysik
ELO 1361
FormWLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1526
FormWLWWL
33%
67%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~73 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)