30 Aug · 06:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1558
FormWLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Pytlas
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1426
FormLLWLL
64%
36%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (18)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H23-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-14)